The International House of Mojo

Forbes says: "It seems reasonable to think that it could raise $4 million or more in total."
http://www.forbes.com/sites/suwcharmananderson/2012/02/20/million-dollar-book-proves-kickstarter-model-now-authors-just-need-the-reach/

I'd say 2.5 millions

I think when there is about 4 or 5 days to go there will be a rush of last minute donations to get it to 3 million.. so I think 2.3-2.4 million until a few days left..and then everyone will get on board to push it to 3 before it closes

I made a little graph to explain my working earlier:

here.

It's a bit rough and ready but should do the job.

Anyway, if you're waiting to get paid, DON'T. I've seen this a lot which means a lot of people probably ARE waiting, but there's no point! The money doesn't get taken until the end of the funding period!

Yeah! go new money! And let's not forget about the rich adventure gamers, who as any rich adventure gamer knows, they take a cruise each February to search for Monkey Island (and its secret). So when they come back, be ready to see some serious money rolling in.

If time and assets permit, then DF should see about getting that documentary rolling as quickly as possible. Safe money says that a continued diet of geek-feed (i.e. webcam teasers of production meetings, tidbits on the game as it starts to come together) would result in equally continuous loosening of wallet-strings, especially if sweetened with the kinds of tier incentives mentioned by Jones Jr.

Though I'm sure insanity's the order of the day at the studio right now, considering how overwhelming this has all been. I wouldn't be surprised if they didn't actually start the pre-pre production process until the craziness has subsided, a touch.

You're forgetting those of us who have to get next month's paycheck before donating... There should be a new influx of money at the end/start of the month...

SOME WORKING:

I'm not sure many people doubted the 2 million, more they were doubting it going far past that. And with reason. It has taken 10 times as long to get the second million to get the first. If that trend continues, it would take them 100 days to get to 3 million. They have 22, which is just over 1/5 of that time, so you might be tempted to predict 2.2 million. But remember that most of the money would be made early on in the 100 days, if we follow the trend. So predicting it at around 2.5 doesn't seem too unreasonable.

Oh, I said and I do think 3 million is POSSIBLE, but it's unlikely. I think they'll hit 2.5 by the end, but I don't think they'll get far past that. Not without some kind of game changing news about the project.

doh! double clicked that post :)

I think Surplus Gamer is right in that if Double Fine bring in a couple of additional reward tiers and can tease people to move up a bracket then $3M is potentially do-able. Optimistic, but do-able :)
I guess the ball is well and truly in DF's court now. I'd like to see a $50 and $150 tier added and some of the suggestions (mugs, art books, CD soundtracks) would certainly be enticing...
I guess the other thing really holding this back is that there are a number of people that cannot use Amazon Payments, though unfortunately that;s not something DF can fix. I guess that just means that there'll be a bunch of people that'll be picking up the game once it's released.

Let it be stated on the record that I predict a final result of 2.7 million.

I think there are good chances for them to make 3 million, and I say they can even scratch 4. Am I crazy? yes, but so is the notion that an adventure game project has raised two million dollars, in 2012!

Heh, Lagomorph, that's exactly what I said when they broke $1.5 and everything slowed down. $2 million seemed out of reach... but they've done it with ease. Time will tell!

I don't think they'll reach 3 million. Everyone who's really interested has already donated. The only thing they can hope is that the positive press gets them some more sponsors, but they'll be lucky to reach 2,5 million. Which is still a whole lot more then they aimed for.

If they continue to post updates that persuade people to make more donations, I wonder if they might break $3 million by the end? (I just can't see it happening, to be honest, but I said the same about $2 million, so what do I know?)

504% funded!